Horse Racing
Betting tips from over 20 years of experience.
Free Horse Picks 7-27-09
Sunday’s FREE pick ran out so no tickets won. This loss ended my wee-k long winning streak. I took yesterday off as the card showed nothing encouraging. I hit exotics like this daily using the methods described in my Epic Exotics book.
Below is today’s FREE horse selection(s). These plays have made a straight bet profit for over 15 years using the methods described in my Epic Exotics book.
Each day I will give one or two of the many plays one can make every day at racetracks around North America. I want to prove these methods work everywhere so I like to give random selections from different tracks to prove it out.
Tuesday I will head north to Finger Lakes and race 2 for our free pick. This is a claiming race for $4,000 and carries a purse value of $8,500. This race is for Phillies and mares 3 years-old that have not won two races and have not won a race since 6-28-09. This race is filled with a bunch of MCL and one win only horses, meaning this race is again full of “junkers”. This is a 5 furlong race on the dirt course. This race offers Exacta and Trifecta wagering. We have seven horses starting.
There are five front-runners so the pace will be very fast. The cream of this bunch is the #1 Paradisia. She is the morning line favorite, but she is not a stand-out by any means. She is what I refer to as the “cream of the crap”. We need a solid run out of her so we can hopefully cash our exotics.
Paradisia has the following advantages in this race :
- 40%+ drop in purse price from last race
- 2nd after a layoff
- 3rd Highest earnings of all the horses in the field
- Will break in the top three from the gate
- 2nd Best ¼ life-time
- Best ½ life-time
- Top three projected times at ¼ and ½
- 2nd Best projected speed rating for this race
- John Davila (jockey) wins 31% of his mounts
- He wins 45% of his 5 furlong dirt races
- He has won an amazing 50% of his last 45 races when leading at the ¼
- He wins over 30% of his races with this running style and position
- Chris Englehart (trainer) has won 30% of his starts at Finger Lakes
- He wins 33% of the races when teamed up with John Davila
- When his horses are the favorite, he wins 41% of the time
- He wins 33% with this kind of a purse drop
- He wins 27% of the time switching the horse from synthetic to dirt surfaces
My Key Horse is the #1 Paradisia
Please remember to play these Key Horses in the way described in the book. Monster payouts are cashed daily as long as your Key Horse can run 4th.